Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 20, 2024
Tigers vs Royals
UNDER 9 -120 Lost
$120.0
Play Type: Premium

The Tigers have some good, young pitchers. Reese Olson is one of them. Ignore the 0-4 record. It's highly misleading. Detroit doesn't score for him. Instead look at Olson's 2.09 ERA, that's tied for the seventh-lowest in the league.

Olson has permitted only five earned runs in his last six starts spanning 37 1/3 innings. He has a 2.41 career ERA vs the Royals in three starts.

Olson pitched against Kansas City on April 26. He held the Royals to one run in seven innings.

Veteran Michael Wacha gets the start for Kansas City. He's a savvy 12-year veteran, who is vulnerable to giving up homers. However, the Tigers have a below average offense especially when it comes to power ranking 26th in homers. Wacha has a 3.43 lifetime ERA against the Tigers in five appearances, including four starts.

Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  May 20, 2024
Storm vs Liberty
Liberty
-10½ -106 at BetVegas
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

It's not often you get a huge early-season situational edge in the WNBA. But the Liberty have one here hosting the Storm.

The Liberty last played on Friday at home. They've had the weekend to rest and hone their early-season performance, which includes two victories by an average of 22.5 points against the Fever and Caitlin Clark.

The Liberty won't play again for three days. So they should have their full focus for this matchup.

The Storm, however, will be playing their third road game in four days. They lost in overtime to Minnesota this past Friday after a gallant comeback forced overtime and then had to rally in the fourth quarter to beat the Mystics on Sunday with four of their starters logging major minutes.

Seattle went 11-29 last year. That was the second-worst mark in the WNBA. The Storm, though, should be much improved this season with the additions of Skylar Diggins-Smith and Nneka Ogwumike joining Jewell Loyd, who led the league in scoring last season.

But it's going to take time for the Storm to jell, which hasn't happened yet. The Storm did manage to beat the Mystics, one of the worst teams in the league, at Washington on Sunday. Prior to that, though, Seattle lost twice to Minnesota, once at home and in overtime on the road, as favorites in each game.

Now the Storm is stepping way up in class as 3-0 New York could be the best team in the WNBA right now with Las Vegas missing injured Chelsea Gray.

Loyd and Diggins-Smith are a combined 32-of-112 shooting from the floor this season for 28.5 percent. Seattle can't beat even an average team like Minnesota if those two key scorers are cold like that. Diggins-Smith is rusty from having missed last year.

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  May 20, 2024
Red Sox vs Rays
Rays
-105 at SC Consensus
Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Top Premium

These teams have been going in opposite directions. Tampa Bay is 11-5 in its last 16 games. Boston is 5-11 in its last 16 games. The Rays are now ahead of the Red Sox in the AL East standings because of this current form.

Some teams hate playing at Tropicana Field because of its turf and unconventional design. The Red Sox are one of those teams. Boston is 2-15 the past two seasons playing the Rays at Tropicana Field.

Part of the Red Sox problem is injuries to three key hitters: Trevor Story, Masataka Yoshida and Triston Casas are all out.

The pitching matchup is Tanner Houck against Taj Bradley.

Bradley is a young pitcher with a high ceiling. Since returning from injury, he's made two starts. He has a 2.45 ERA. Houck has an impressive 2.17 ERA. However, he's 3-5 and threw a career-high 112 pitches in 5 2/3 innings during a 4-3 home loss to the Rays this past Wednesday.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
WNBA  |  May 21, 2024
Wings vs Dream
Dream
-4½ -110 at Mirage
Won
$100
Play Type: Top Premium

The Dream has had this game circled ever since Dallas knocked them out of the playoffs last season, 2-0, with both of the Wings' victories coming at home.

Now Atlanta gets Dallas at home. It's the Dream's first home game of the season and the Wings' first road contest.

The Dream are at full strength. Dallas is not. The Wings are without starting guard Jaelyn Brown (broken nose) and star forward Natasha Howard (broken foot).

The Wings hosted rebuilding Chicago for their first two games. Dallas was favored in each game, but could only manage a split against one of the lower-tier teams in the league.

Atlanta beat the Sparks by 11 in Los Angeles, but lost as a short road favorite to the much-improved Mercury.

The Dream have too much firepower for the Wings, which heavily rely on Arkie Ogunbowale for the bulk of their scoring. Ogunbowale is a prolific scorer, but is only shooting 37.3 percent from the floor.

Atlanta is No. 1 in the WNBA in field goal and 3-point shooting percentage. The Dream rank No. 3 in scoring, averaging 88.5 points per game. Rhyne Howard and Alish Gray give the Dream one of the top scoring backcourt tandems in the league. Veteran Tina Charles still remains highly effective averaging 13.5 points and 8.5 rebounds. Charles could be in line for a big game with Howard out.

Matchup Selection W/L
NBA  |  May 21, 2024
Pacers vs Celtics
Celtics
-9½ -110 at Mirage
Play Type: Top Premium
Great job by the Pacers upsetting the Knicks at Madison Square Garden in Game 7 of their series. That puts the Pacers in the Eastern Conference Finals against Boston.  Game 1 is Tuesday in Boston. It's a bad spot for Indiana. Very bad.  The Celtics are 41-6 at home. They've been idle since Wednesday. The Pacers will be in action for the eighth time in 15 days. They haven't had enough time to recover from getting past the Knicks.  Boston is the superior team and has a strong situational edge. It's enough for the Celtics to cover a double-digit spread.  The Celtics are 8-2 in the playoffs disposing of the Heat and Cavaliers in five games each. Boston won seven of those eight games by double-digits.  The Pacers are 2-5 SU, 3-4 ATS on the road in the playoffs. They got through two severely banged-up opponents, the Knicks, and Bucks without Giannis Antetokounmpo. Indiana had the top offense in the league during the regular season. However, the Pacers ranked 27th defensively. Offense doesn't win conference titles. Defense does. 
SERVICE BIO

Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.